Methodology

The perturbation paradigm.

We measure reasoning by flip rate — a paired-item test that precludes the surface-feature heuristics most models use to game conventional evaluations. Each test consists of two items: one canonical, one perturbed. The pair is the unit of measurement, not the item. A model that gets one item right and the other wrong has not reasoned; it has matched. Flip rate measures how often that happens.

Conventional accuracy rewards surface-feature heuristics. Flip rate punishes them. The result is a far harder, far more honest signal — and one that any lab can apply to its own model.

3 / 10
1 hop 2 distractors
fig. i.a canonical
premise
question

fig. i.b perturbed
premise
question

Pairs above are verbatim records from the ConvergeMini rail of the eval kit. The slider scales two axes together: hop count (the number of inference steps from premise to answer) and distractor density (the number of facts irrelevant to the conclusion). The single fact flipped between canonical and perturbed — marked with an indigo bar — is the load-bearing change. The correct answer flips with it; a reasoner tracks the change through the chain, a surface-matcher does not.

fig. i — method, with live pairs from the ConvergeMini rail

Flip-rate rule

The pair is the unit of measurement.

A model must answer both sides coherently. One correct item is not enough when the load-bearing fact has moved.

Surfaces

Evaluation rails, paired.

The release surface is organized by the measurement grammar: canonical records, load-bearing perturbations, and source-level provenance. Some rails are public transfer tasks; others are calibrated anchors. The rail set can evolve without changing the standard.

  • Canonical record The original item, kept as the baseline measurement surface.
  • Perturbed record A minimal load-bearing change that should force the answer to move.
  • Flip rate The paired metric: both sides must be answered coherently.
  • Provenance Each release rail carries source and construction metadata for audit.
  • Transfer The same method applies across public tasks and calibrated anchors.

Available at launch

fig. ii — surfaces

Contact

First contact.

For research, capital, and deployment conversations at the frontier of reason.

Colophon

Company

Sophontic, Inc.

Structure

Delaware C-corporation

Founded

2026

Contact

Contact form